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Maui Now : Tropical Storm Lane to Become Major Hurricane on Saturday

    With better organization in the latest forecast, Tropical Storm Lane is expected to become a hurricane on Friday and could become a major hurricane on Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center. But at 2,200 miles away from the Hawaiian Island chain, the system is still too far away to determine effects, if any, it will have on the state.

    At 5 a.m. HST on Wednesday, Aug. 15, 2018, the center of TS Lane was located 1,235 miles SW of the Southern tip of Baja California within the jurisdiction of the National Hurricane Center.

    In relation to Hawaiʻi, the storm is located: 2,185 miles ESE of Hilo; 2,255 miles ESE of Hāna; 2,290 miles ESE of Kahului; and 2,395 miles ESE of Honolulu (near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 123.6 West).

    TS Lane is moving toward the west near 14 mph, a motion that forecasters say is expect to continue for the next couple of days, with a turn to the WNW forecast to occur on Friday.

    Early Monday morning (Aug. 20, 2018), Lane is forecast to be about 600 miles ESE from the islands at 15.0 N, -146.5 W.

    “The subtropical ridge to the north of Lane is forecast to weaken slightly over the next few days, which will likely steer the cyclone to the west or west-northwest throughout the period,” according to the latest forecast discussion released by the NHC.

    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph with higher gusts.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center.

    Tropical Storm – winds 39-73 mph
    Category 1 – winds 74-95 mph
    Category 2 – winds 96-110 mph
    Category 3 – winds 111-129 mph
    Category 4 – winds 130-156 mph
    Category 5 – winds 157 mph and up

    Tropical Storm Lane 2-day graphical weather outlook. (8.15.18, 5 a.m.) PC: NOAA/NHC

    Tropical Storm Lane satellite imagery. (8.15.18, 5 a.m.) PC: NOAA/NHC

    Tropical Storm Lane satellite imagery. (8.15.18, 5 a.m.) PC: NOAA/NHC

    Tropical Storm Lane wind projections. (8.15.18, 5 a.m.) PC: NOAA/NHC

    Tropical Storm Lane forecast track. (8.15.18, 5 a.m.) PC: NOAA/NHC

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